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What’s the Point? How is it SMART to Be Investing During Inflation? 6.17.2022

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Right now, there are many people saying to themselves “What’s the point?” when thinking about investing during inflation. Does the below photo conjure up familiar feelings right now when checking your accounts?

What’s the Point? How is it SMART to Be Investing During Inflation?

There is no question that today’s market, economic, and political environment is scary, volatile, disconcerting, and our favorite adjective to use, unsettling. Saving and investing during inflation seems to hold no basis in logic, and can feel like throwing good money after bad. And no matter how old you are, there are at least five things going on right now that are affecting how you are thinking about what to do (or not do) with your money, including:

stock market cartoon

Add to this consumer prices rising more than they have in the past 40 years, and these events start to sound like reasons to run. Investing during inflation is emotionally difficult, but extremely important! Don’t use these events as excuses or rationalizations to withdraw, unless you have a magic crystal ball that will accurately predict these two important things.

1. When, exactly, to get out of the stock market, before it assumedly drops more, and

2. When, exactly, to get back in to the stock market, when circumstances are even scarier and prices are lower than they are today

We’ve seen people get #1 right, or #2 right, but rarely does anyone consistently and accurately get both right.

What to do to ensure we are investing during inflation, and not turning our backs?

1. Recognize this is an emotional time, and give yourself space – it’s normal to feel worried, desperate, fearful, anxious, and even angry.

Emotions you cannot control your money Warren Buffet

We are human beings, and we are hard-wired to be emotional. However, at Towerpoint Wealth, we understand that allowing emotions to dictate financial decision-making is the most common and problematic mistake made by many investors. And we also understand that it is immensely detrimental to growing and protecting one’s net worth and assets.

As investors (and humans), we all harbor cognitive biases, and having the fortitude to recognize and not give into our biases is essential.

Wall Street Market Cycle Graph

2. Be humble about your ability to predict the future, and disciplined in systematically rebalancing your portfolio.

Trying to sell right at the top, and buy right at the bottom, is an exercise in futility, and is an expectation that no reasonable investor should harbor. We believe the sooner you recognize that accurately predicting the future is something human beings are not very good at, the better off you will be.

Instead of repeatedly flailing with attempts to time the market and accurately predict the future, have a plan to systematically rebalance your portfolio (we advise semi-annually). This forces you to sell high and buy low, add to areas that are undervalued, and reduce areas that are overvalued. The chart below provides empirical evidence of the benefits of rebalancing.

Benefits of Portfolio Rebalancing Chart

Click the Wealth Management Philosophy thumbnail image below to learn more about exactly how we help our clients build and protect their net worth.

Wealth Management Philosophy

3. If you are working, be disciplined in dollar-cost averaging (DCAing) funds into your portfolio and nest egg while the markets are temporarily weak.

Investing during inflation does not have to be any more complicated or sophisticated than investing during more “normal” times, and this certainly includes being systematic in investing during inflation.

It is important to understand that the key to dollar-cost averaging is NOT timing the market, a concept that can be difficult to internalize! The emotional temptation to terminate a DCA program becomes greater when the value of your accounts are declining, as it feels like you are throwing good money after bad, as we mentioned previously. However, the opposite is actually true, as you are adding more capital to your portfolio when prices are low, therefore building a stronger overall base to your nest egg – it just doesn’t feel very good at the time!

Dollar Averaging

You can also consider value averaging if you and/or your advisor have the time and the expertise.

4. If you are retired, be mindful about where in your portfolio you are withdrawing funds from while the markets are temporarily weak.

Having a plan to derive sustainable retirement income, during both good economic environments and bad, is essential. Follow a systematic retirement income plan like this basic example:

  • Establish a cash and emergency fund (your “feeder” fund) that holds enough cash to cover approximately two years of general lifestyle expenses
  • Regularly backfill your feeder fund with investment income from your investment accounts, i.e. interest and dividends, as well as guaranteed pension and Social Security income
  • Backfill your feeder fund by selling investments that have appreciated when the financial markets are doing well; pause and avoid selling investments at a loss when the markets are temporarily weak and in decline
Cash Emergency Fund Investment Accounts Invest Money

Would you like to discuss specific ideas on where to invest your money during an inflationary environment?

Click here and message Towerpoint Wealth

What’s Happening at TPW?

Today we are excited to welcome Luis Barrera to the Towerpoint Wealth family as our new Marketing Specialist.

We look forward to having Luis apply his marketing skills and experience to help Towerpoint Wealth connect in new ways with new and existing clients.

Click the photo below to learn more about Luis and his background, and be sure to ask him about his two Australian Shepherds, Bella and Blue, in reaching out to him with a warm “welcome aboard!”

Luis apply his marketing skills and experience to help Towerpoint Wealth
Click here and message Luis Barrera Marketing Specialist

A big congratulations to our Director of Research and Analytics, Nathan Billigmeier, for earning his Certificate in Blockchain and Digital Assets from the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals just last week!

Certificate in Blockchain and Digital Assets from the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals

What else is happening with the Towerpoint Wealth family?

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TPW Taxes – 2022

While the IRS has historically provided significant tax breaks to real estate investors, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Actcreated another avenue of advantage for these investors through the creation of the Opportunity Zone program. By investing in an Opportunity Zone (OZ) through an investment vehicle called a Qualified Opportunity Fund (QOF), investors are provided with a unique opportunity to potentially defer, reduce, and eliminate capital gains taxes!

Click the image below to open and review a well-assembled white paper we recently published on the specifics of Opportunity Zones and Qualified Opportunity Funds, the tax advantages of investing in Qualified Opportunity Funds, as well as other considerations for an investor contemplating a QOF.

Opportunity Zone (OZ) - Qualified Opportunity Fund (QOF)

Curious if you might benefit from an OZ or a QOF in 2022?

Click here and message Towerpoint Wealth Steve Pitchford

TPW News You Can Use

Useful and interesting content we read the past two weeks:

1. The Markets and Households Lose Faith that the Fed Can Handle Inflation – The Washington Post – 6.14.2022

Fed Can Handle Inflation

The Federal Reserve’s missteps in waiting too long to tackle the greatest run-up in prices in four decades has shaken trust across the markets and the American public that it is up to the task of curbing inflation.

2. For Families Deeply Divided, A Summer of Hot Buttons Begins – AP News – 6.16.2022

For families fractured along red house-blue house lines, summer’s slate of reunions, trips and weddings poses another exhausting round of tension at a time of heavy fatigue. Pandemic restrictions have melted away but gun control, the fight for reproductive rights, the Jan. 6 insurrection hearings, who’s to blame for soaring inflation and a range of other issues continue to simmer.

Keep Abortion Legal

For families fractured along red house-blue house lines, summer’s slate of reunions, trips and weddings poses another exhausting round of tension at a time of heavy fatigue. Pandemic restrictions have melted away but gun control, the fight for reproductive rights, the Jan. 6 insurrection hearings, who’s to blame for soaring inflation and a range of other issues continue to simmer.

3. From Great Resignation to Forced Resignation – Tech Companies Shift to Layoffs After a Huge Ramp Up in Hiring – Marketwatch – 6.15.2022

Tech Companies Shift to Layoffs

Thousands of layoffs in the tech sector, compounded by hiring freezes and a slowdown in hiring, highlight the abrupt shift in fortunes over the past several months as a result of rampant inflation, fear of stagflation and recession, supply-chain interruptions, the war in Ukraine, an ailing stock market and other red-alert economic factors.

Chart / Infographics of the Week

The Fed raised rates 75 basis points (3/4 of a point) on Wednesday. This is the biggest rate hike since 1994!

One of the main reasons for the Fed’s hike was the massive increase in consumer inflation projections in the next year.

Fed’s hike was the massive increase in consumer inflation projections
What might this big rate increase mean for you?
Why should you should care?
Click here and message Towerpoint Wealth

TPW Educational Video : Are You Really a Long Term Investor?

An essential, yet frankly sometimes annoying, question to ask in today’s current difficult market environment:

✅ Are you *really* a long-term investor?

Click the thumbnail below to learn what you may be doing wrong

Are you *really* a long-term investor?

Quote of the Week

An excellent quote below from author, entrepreneur, and photographer James Clear. Famous for his #1 NY Times best seller Atomic Habits, Clear focuses on habits, decision-making, and continuous improvement in his work.

James Clear Quote

As the 24/7 news cycle churns, twists, and turns, a number of trending and notable events have occurred over the past few weeks:

As always, we sincerely value our relationships and partnerships with each of you, as well as your trust and confidence in us here at Towerpoint Wealth. We encourage you to reach out to us at any time (916-405-9140, info@towerpointwealth.com) with any questions, concerns, or needs you may have. The world continues to be an extremely unsettled and complicated place, and we are here to help you properly plan for and make sense of it.

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 Joseph, Jonathan, Steve, Lori, Nathan, and Michelle

Towerpoint Wealth Sacramento Independent Financial Advisor

We enjoy social media, and are actively growing our online community!

Follow us on any of these platforms, message us there and let us know your favorite charity.
We will happily donate $10 to it!

Click HERE to follow TPW on LinkedIn
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Feeling Depression About a Possible Recession? 04.08.2022

Top 5 Ways to Recession-Proof Your Portfolio!

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Is the United States economy on the verge of slipping into a recession?

Or is the exact opposite happening – is the economy continuing to recover, more robust than it is getting credit for?

Recession Proof | Economy in Recession

A broad measure of the “stock market,” the S&P 500 ended 2021 at 4,766.18. It then proceeded to “correct” down to 4,173.11 on March 14 (click HERE to read our 2.1.2022 commentary about this, Market Correction Is Coming – What, Me Worry?). However, since 3/14, the market has notched an impressive rally, sailing back out of correction territory in less than a month.

So what gives? Are we looking towards an economy in recession, or are we more recession proof than many economists believe?

It should come as no surprise to our clients and to TPW friends and colleagues that we take this volatility with a grain of salt. We pay attention, but rarely react, to these short-term movements. Daily, weekly, and monthly market movements are much more important to, and are scrutinized more closely by, traders and speculators, as opposed to investors interested in taking a disciplined approach to building and protecting wealth. As Warren Buffett said:

Warren Buffet

However, we do seem to be at an odd inflection point in our economy, and unsurprisingly, there is anything but consensus on what happens next.

While the Towerpoint Wealth Investment Committee remains cautiously optimistic and sanguine (a favorite adjective used often in the investment community by analysts and talking heads who want to sound extra intelligent) about the future of the US economy and financial markets, not everyone agrees with us.

BOA and MS Info

While it currently seems fashionable to portray a bearish / negative outlook for the US economy and financial markets, we believe that record corporate profitsplentiful jobssignificant declines in coronavirus caseswage increases, and excess consumer savings will outweigh the economic risks of inflationinterest rate increasesUkraine-Russia geo-political and supply-chain concerns, and potentially higher US federal income taxes.

Oil Housing Covid Graphic

At Towerpoint Wealth, we firmly believe that a possible slowdown does not have to mean recession, and we also firmly believe that when you have an economy in recession, truly, almost by definition, it involves job losses and high unemployment. In today’s environment, it is not hard to see that the absolute opposite is currently true.

Click the thumbnail below to read an excellent report from T. Rowe Price discussing why recession in the US appears unlikely amid our reopening economy.

Market Parallels 1973- Recession Proof

We also believe that Putnam’s graph below, illustrating economic expansions and recessions, and concurrently, bull (rising) and bear (declining) markets, does an excellent job of helping our clients to understand:

  1. Economic expansions (above the line, in green) are much more robust than recessions (below the line, in red)
  2. Over the past 73 years, bull markets have lasted longer (50 months, on average) than bear markets (13 months, on average), and have more than made up for periodic market declines
Putnam Investments - A world of investing

However, at Towerpoint Wealth, we don’t want to say that we have a recession-proof economy – we fully recognize that the risk of a recession is not zero, and that it is important to be mindful of and have a plan to protect against the possibility that the Fed “slams on the brakes” by aggressively increasing interest rates (and concurrently the cost, or “price,” of borrowing money), which would result in a rapid slow-down of our economy.

Market Pricing Total Fed Funds Increase 2022

What to do to recession-proof your portfolio? Read on!

1. Own and have exposure to blue-chip equities (stocks)

Investors almost always find blue chip stocks attractive, but especially during a recession. They typically pay attractive dividends, which provides a tangible return in the form of consistent income. Blue chip stocks also tend to be larger companies with more stable and predictable streams of revenue and profits, which can lessen the impact on the price of a stock during a market pullback or recession.

2. Harness the power of low-correlation investments and alternative diversifiers


Owning or adding to your portfolio investments whose price and value tend to “zig” when more traditional stocks and bonds “zag” can help lower your risk, especially during a recessionary period. Commodities, precious metals, timber, commercial real estate, cryptocurrency and digital assets, hedge funds, private equity and debt, timber, and art are just a few examples of low-correlation investments.

The three D2 of alternative diversifiers

3. Increase your exposure to non-US equities

Owning international stocks is another way to recession-proof your portfolio. While the economies, and stock markets, of the major developed countries and economies around the globe seem to be more correlated than ever before, the discounted valuations, and currencies, that oftentimes can be found within international stock markets can be an excellent hedge against a possible US recession. Additionally, international markets oftentimes offer more exposure to structural growth opportunities than the US market, and can be an excellent hedge against rising inflation here in the US.

4. Cash is (or can be) king!

Cash adds “bubble wrap” to your portfolio, especially during a recession. Having cash allows an investor to further recession proof their portfolio by cushioning against volatility and market declines. Smart investors also can utilize this “dry powder” to take advantage of attractive investment opportunities as they arise during a market pullback or correction, especially if they believe a recession is coming.

Warren Buffet Quote Cash

Cash is considered “oxygen” for a portfolio, as it becomes more and more important to have as temporary market declines occur during a recession. Lastly, while checking, savings, and money market accounts have paid little if any interest over the past few years, things are quickly changing, and as interest rates rise throughout 2022, you should earn higher rates on your cash and money market deposits.

5. Be properly diversified

Through maintaining a portfolio allocation across a diversified group of asset classes, investors can position themselves, and their portfolios, to better weather market and economic volatility. Additionally, being properly diversified allows for the benefits of disciplined portfolio rebalancing, helping an investor to recession proof their portfolio by buying low and selling high when transitioning their portfolio back to its original strategic targets. Plus, who wants all of their eggs in just one or two baskets when a recession is coming? Not us…

What’s Happening at TPW

A BIG congratulations to our Partner, Wealth Advisor, Jonathan LaTurner, and his new bride, Katie McDonald, who tied the knot last week in Tulum, Mexico! We couldn’t be happier for both of them!

And of course our President, Joseph Eschleman, was in attendance to help the happy couple celebrate!

Jonathan W. LaTurner Wedding in Mexico
Jonathan W. LaTurner Wedding in Mexico
Jonathan W. LaTurner & President Joseph Eschleman, CIMA® Wedding in Mexico

It’s not a Happy Friday without a McDonald’s McNuggets Happy Meal!

Ethan, the son of our Director of Research and Analytics, Nathan Billigmeier, keeps getting more and more adorable as the months pass! #heartbreaker

Nathan and Ethan McDonalds

 What else is happening with the Towerpoint Wealth family? Follow us on Facebook to find out!

TPW Taxes – 2022

While here in California, state income tax rates continue to climb, this is not the norm and not the case throughout many parts of the US. A dozen states introduced measures to REDUCE corporate or personal income tax rates last year. Click the two images below to read examples from states that are doing the opposite of what California is doing – cutting the state taxes their residents have to pay.

TPW GA Taxpayers
Georgia lawmakers create flat income tax, cutting taxes by $1 billion
TPW Mississippi House Tax Bill
Mississippi enacts its largest-ever tax cut

We are officially in the Tax Day 2022 “home stretch,” as the filing deadline to submit 2021 tax returns, or an extension to file and pay tax owed, is Monday, April 18. As we have mentioned previously, we welcome and look forward to directly interfacing and collaborating with you, and/or your tax advisor. 

Towerpoint Wealth’s Director of Tax and Financial Planning, Steve Pitchford, CPA, CFP® is our resident tax expert, and we invite you to simply click his image below to reach out to him about any specific income tax-related need, issue, service or document request, or question.

TPW News You Can Use

1. A New COVID Mystery – Why Haven’t Cases Started Rising Again in the US? – NY Times – 4.6.2022

To many people’s surprise, new COVID-19 cases in the US have not begun to rise. Over the past two weeks, they have held roughly steady, falling about 1%, even as the highly contagious BA.2 subvariant of Omicron has become the dominant form of COVID in the US.

2. Making it Rain – Yankees, Mets Both Have the Obscene Payrolls NY Teams Need – NY Post – 4.5.2022

The Mets and the Yankees will combine to spend $532 million on baseball players this year, and if that seems outrageous… well, sure, it probably is.

3. The Remarkable Brain of a Carpet Cleaner Who Speaks 24 Languages – SF Gate – 4.5.2022

Vaughn Smith, a real, live hyperpolyglot (a person who can speak several languages), is fluent in eight languages and conversational in another 25!

Chart / Infographic of the Week

Incremental change – small micro-actions, when done repeatedly, over a long period of time, can cause massive improvements. Also known as baby steps!

Line Chart Improvement

Also, if you haven’t heard, rampant inflation is one of the central reasons that interest rates continue their upwards march, as borrowing for a mortgage has quickly become much more expensive

Mortgage Graph 30 Year Fixed

Quote of the Week

Very consistent with the theme of the Chart/Infographic of the Week found above, we love NBA legend and Hall of Famer Jerry West’s quote and outlook on life found below.

Jerry West Quote

Trending Today

As the 24/7 news cycle churns, twists, and turns, a number of trending and notable events have occurred over the past few weeks:

As always, we sincerely value our relationships and partnerships with each of you, as well as your trust and confidence in us here at Towerpoint Wealth. We encourage you to reach out to us at any time (916-405-9140info@towerpointwealth.com) with any questions, concerns, or needs you may have. The world continues to be an extremely unsettled and complicated place, and we are here to help you properly plan for and make sense of it.

 Joseph, Jonathan, Steve, Lori, Nathan, and Michelle

Towerpoint Wealth Sacramento Independent Financial Advisor

We enjoy social media, and are actively growing our online community!

Follow us on any of these platforms, message us there and let us know your favorite charity. We will happily donate $10 to it!

Click HERE to follow TPW on LinkedIn
Click HERE to follow TPW on Facebook
Click HERE to follow TPW on Instagram
Click HERE to follow TPW on Twitter

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The Russia/Ukraine Crisis – An Important Message 03.04.2022

Just over two months ago, markets were at a record high, as healthy data on the US economy signaled continued economic growth on the horizon.

Then, as Vladimir Putin and his Russian military first threatened, and then began, an outright invasion of Ukraine on February 24, world financial markets began a correction and decline. The events of the past week and a half have again reminded us – we live in extremely unsettled and uncertain times.

Click the image below to watch a well-articulated and important message from our President, Joseph Eschleman, as he addresses not only the major implications of the Russia/Ukraine crisis for the financial markets and our economy, but perhaps most importantly, for your portfolio.

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President Joseph Eschleman Featured in Financial Advisor IQ Magazine 02.25.2022

Our President, Joseph F. Eschleman, CIMA®, was recently profiled in Financial Advisor IQ’s February 25 article discussing what clients need to know about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the impact these developments may have on investments, and how clients can respond.

Click here to read what he had to say!

How to Optimize Selecting Your Wealth or Financial Advisor? How a Financial Advisor Helps You Protect and Grow Net Worth | Download white paper.